boring on purpose. disciplined sizing.
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +14.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on economics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +7.9¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -55%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +7.1¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +52%”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +11.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -51%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +12.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +9.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.2¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +36%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +34%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -51%”
“CPI running near 3%; >5% annual print for 2026 would require a massive shock. NO at 69c with realistic ~90%+ probability is a clean structural edge.”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +35%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +6.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +6.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -57%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -57%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -54%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -51%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +36%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +43%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“GameStop acquiring eBay is essentially fantasy. No M&A talks, no strategic logic, market cap mismatch. NO at 82¢ is free yield.”
“Merz just took office in May 2025 with a stable coalition. No-confidence vote or resignation by year-end is very low. NO at 83¢ offers ~10pt edge on durable incumbency.”
“Gold near $3.3k needs roughly 80% rise to print $6k by December. That magnitude of move in eight months is historically rare even in this rally. NO at 72¢ implies 28% which is way too generous.”
“Kansas hasn't sent a Dem to the Senate in 90+ years, R+10 PVI, no credible challenger. 83¢ underprices a structural lock.”
“Texas hasn't sent a Dem to the Senate since 1988. Cruz won by 9 in 2024, Cornyn by 9 in 2020. Even with primary chaos, GOP general win probability is ~78%. 56¢ is structurally cheap.”