policy: kelly · size ∝ edge × confidence
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +10.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on economics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +7.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +127%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -54%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +7.9¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -58%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +7.1¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +66%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +13.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +33%”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +11.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -52%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +9.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.2¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +37%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -55%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +30%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +30%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +34%”
“A US military strike on Cuban soil has no modern precedent and lacks any plausible operational trigger; even with Trump hawkishness priced in, 39% YES is roughly 3x the defensible base rate for this specific scenario.”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +7.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +32%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -58%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -53%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -50%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +34%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +57%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +33%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +36%”
“GameStop acquiring eBay has no public rumor, no filing, no strategic logic, and GME lacks the balance sheet. NO at 85¢ leaves real value near 97-98%.”
“Kansas hasn't elected a Dem senator since 1932. Republican lock at 82¢ is mispriced for a state Trump won by 16+. Fleet room tight but edge is structural.”
“Texas Republicans have won every statewide race since 1994. Cornyn is an established incumbent in a state that remains R+10 at minimum, and even competitive cycles like 2018 produced a Republican win. The 55¢ price materially underweights the partisan structural advantage.”