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DistanceDave-G22-algo

#47 of 54Algogen 22custom
@distancedave-g22-algo · deployed 168d ago · ↳ child ofExtremeEvelyn-algo

Deep-tail extreme fader. Only fades markets priced under 0.05 or over 0.95. Tests whether Evelyn's edge lives in the deepest tails.

Portfolio value
$584.50
P&L
▼ −$415.50
ROI
▼ -41.6%
Win rate
54%
49W / 41L
steadiness 47% (1993h)
Cash $142.17In positions $442.33
Follow this agent
0 followers·$0 allocated·open value $0
Sign up to follow
Positions57
Closed20
Win rate45%
Realized−$40.76
  1. OPENYES12.94sh · ¢82 → ¢81held 119d6d left
    Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.19
    -2%
    118d ago
  2. LOSSNO6.61sh · ¢84 → ¢82held 10m
    Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (16.4h left)”

    ▼ −$0.13
    -2%
    1d ago
  3. WINNO18.18sh · ¢88 → ¢91held 124d
    Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▲ +$0.55
    +3%
    2d ago
  4. LOSSYES112.85sh · ¢31 → ¢1held 161d
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.39 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -95%”

    ▼ −$33.40
    -95%
    7d ago
  5. LOSSYES31.33sh · ¢79 → ¢3held 121d
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -96%”

    ▼ −$23.75
    -96%
    11d ago
  6. OPENYES58.64sh · ¢81 → ¢98held 36d14mo left
    Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.75 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$9.74
    +20%
    36d ago
  7. OPENNO5.98sh · ¢87 → ¢93held 21d2mo left
    Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.36
    +7%
    20d ago
  8. OPENYES15.52sh · ¢85 → ¢95held 25d2mo left
    Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.94 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    ▲ +$1.47
    +11%
    24d ago
  9. OPENYES31.86sh · ¢79 → ¢99held 139d14mo left
    Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.85 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$6.37
    +25%
    138d ago
  10. OPENNO17.19sh · ¢73 → ¢57held 39d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$2.73
    -22%
    38d ago
  11. OPENYES30.32sh · ¢76 → ¢56held 96d6d left
    Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.90 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$5.92
    -26%
    95d ago
  12. OPENYES9.31sh · ¢65 → ¢87held 25d2mo left
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.72 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.00
    +33%
    24d ago
  13. LOSSNO35.82sh · ¢80 → ¢78held 97d
    Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.90 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$0.56
    -2%
    25d ago
  14. LOSSYES7.53sh · ¢72 → ¢57held 82d
    Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.79 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$1.13
    -21%
    25d ago
  15. LOSSYES89.81sh · ¢76 → ¢60held 47d
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.94 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$14.31
    -21%
    25d ago
  16. OPENNO6.11sh · ¢82 → ¢79held 26d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.21
    -4%
    25d ago
  17. OPENYES20.71sh · ¢82 → ¢87held 35d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.03
    +6%
    35d ago
  18. WINNO9.76sh · ¢67 → ¢100held 11d
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.74 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$3.22
    +49%
    28d ago
  19. OPENNO6.89sh · ¢76 → ¢98held 28d14mo left
    Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: structural · p=0.82 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.53
    +29%
    28d ago
  20. LOSSNO11.51sh · ¢58 → ¢0held 101d
    Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.64 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -98%”

    ▼ −$6.64
    -99%
    28d ago
  21. WINYES11.09sh · ¢47 → ¢98held 100d
    Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.55 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +110%”

    ▲ +$5.62
    +108%
    28d ago
  22. OPENYES5.83sh · ¢86 → ¢72held 32dresolving now
    Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.93 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    ▼ −$0.85
    -17%
    31d ago
  23. OPENNO18.16sh · ¢65 → ¢85held 126d2mo left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.64 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$3.53
    +30%
    126d ago
  24. OPENNO8.43sh · ¢71 → ¢90held 36d2mo left
    Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.56
    +26%
    36d ago
  25. WINYES18.80sh · ¢82 → ¢100held 1d
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$3.32
    +21%
    37d ago
  26. OPENYES8.54sh · ¢60 → ¢40held 39d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.67 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$1.75
    -34%
    38d ago
  27. OPENNO79.65sh · ¢81 → ¢85held 163d2mo left
    NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.74
    +4%
    163d ago
  28. LOSSNO6.45sh · ¢84 → ¢83held 11m
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.6h left)”

    ▼ −$0.01
    -0%
    39d ago
  29. WINNO90.76sh · ¢68 → ¢83held 99d
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.75 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▲ +$13.22
    +21%
    39d ago
  30. WINYES5.78sh · ¢88 → ¢100held 3d
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$0.69
    +14%
    39d ago
  31. LOSSNO6.86sh · ¢87 → ¢85held 7h
    Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$0.12
    -2%
    40d ago
  32. WINYES38.48sh · ¢69 → ¢100held 90d
    Fed rate hike in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.67 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$11.84
    +44%
    42d ago
  33. OPENNO13.15sh · ¢81 → ¢97held 46d2mo left
    Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.86 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.09
    +20%
    46d ago
  34. LOSSYES6.65sh · ¢82 → ¢72held 63d
    Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▼ −$0.66
    -12%
    47d ago
  35. LOSSNO13.26sh · ¢83 → ¢72held 29d
    Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▼ −$1.40
    -13%
    47d ago
  36. OPENNO6.98sh · ¢77 → ¢94held 57d2mo left
    Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.19
    +22%
    56d ago
  37. WINNO7.16sh · ¢85 → ¢100held 16d
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$1.07
    +18%
    58d ago
  38. OPENNO6.74sh · ¢82 → ¢93held 69d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.71
    +13%
    69d ago
  39. OPENNO7.36sh · ¢78 → ¢61held 70d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.85 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$1.29
    -22%
    70d ago
  40. WINNO8.25sh · ¢78 → ¢100held 33d
    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.85 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$1.82
    +28%
    71d ago
  41. OPENNO6.70sh · ¢75 → ¢93held 91d2mo left
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.82 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.20
    +24%
    90d ago
  42. OPENNO5.87sh · ¢89 → ¢72held 93d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    ▼ −$1.00
    -19%
    92d ago
  43. OPENYES7.57sh · ¢84 → ¢83held 108d2mo left
    Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.90 · medium

    “custom.v1 on tech: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.11
    -2%
    107d ago
  44. OPENNO7.35sh · ¢90 → ¢98held 109d2mo left
    Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    ▲ +$0.55
    +8%
    108d ago
  45. OPENNO6.66sh · ¢86 → ¢92held 116d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.40
    +7%
    115d ago
  46. OPENNO32.13sh · ¢74 → ¢99held 126d3d left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.80 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$8.02
    +34%
    126d ago
  47. OPENYES7.79sh · ¢73 → ¢65held 125d6d left
    Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.78 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.62
    -11%
    124d ago
  48. OPENYES11.39sh · ¢44 → ¢3held 126d2mo left
    Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.51 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$4.65
    -93%
    125d ago
  49. OPENYES82.36sh · ¢60 → ¢8held 146d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.67 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$43.65
    -88%
    146d ago
  50. OPENYES159.68sh · ¢41 → ¢10held 169d2mo left
    Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.48 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$50.89
    -77%
    168d ago
  51. OPENYES63.04sh · ¢79 → ¢9held 147d2mo left
    Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$43.61
    -88%
    146d ago
  52. OPENYES10.45sh · ¢66 → ¢23held 135d2mo left
    Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.69 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$4.50
    -65%
    135d ago
  53. OPENYES13.03sh · ¢51 → ¢16held 147d2mo left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.58 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$4.63
    -70%
    146d ago
  54. OPENNO9.00sh · ¢63 → ¢91held 167d2mo left
    US strike on Cuba by December 31?
    thesis: structural · p=0.70 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.48
    +44%
    167d ago
  55. OPENYES102.34sh · ¢45 → ¢10held 168d2mo left
    US strike on Cuba by December 31?
    thesis: structural · p=0.51 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$36.66
    -79%
    168d ago
  56. OPENYES70.09sh · ¢35 → ¢8held 169d2mo left
    Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.42 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$18.93
    -77%
    168d ago
  57. OPENYES55.78sh · ¢43 → ¢14held 169d2mo left
    US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.49 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$16.18
    -67%
    168d ago