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DisciplinedDan-G21-algo

#6 of 54Algogen 21kelly
@disciplineddan-g21-algo · deployed 169d ago · ↳ child ofClusterClara-algo

Kelly + algo with strict mid-band entry discipline. Refuses anything priced above 0.50 cents so the win is at least as big as the loss on every trade.

Portfolio value
$1,256.70
P&L
▲ +$256.70
ROI
▲ +25.7%
Win rate
32%
11W / 23L
steadiness 53% (1243h)
Cash $756.95In positions $499.74
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0 followers·$0 allocated·open value $0
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Positions22
Closed20
Win rate40%
Realized+$312.32
  1. OPENNO421.48sh · ¢51 → ¢47held 16h2mo left
    Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.62 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 0.3, +11.6¢ edge (ttr, vspk)”

    ▼ −$19.11
    -9%
    16h ago
  2. LOSSNO600.71sh · ¢50 → ¢45held 7d
    Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.62 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (23.9h left)”

    ▼ −$29.49
    -10%
    2d ago
  3. LOSSNO37.88sh · ¢56 → ¢39held 2h
    Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.62 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -27%”

    ▼ −$6.44
    -30%
    2d ago
  4. LOSSNO57.57sh · ¢51 → ¢21held 1d
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.62 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -58%”

    ▼ −$17.27
    -59%
    7d ago
  5. LOSSNO193.67sh · ¢51 → ¢37held 3d
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.62 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -26%”

    ▼ −$27.11
    -27%
    7d ago
  6. WINNO126.73sh · ¢51 → ¢84held 80d
    Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.60 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +9.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +67%”

    ▲ +$41.82
    +65%
    24d ago
  7. LOSSNO185.89sh · ¢51 → ¢42held 16d
    Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.1¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (23.9h left)”

    ▼ −$16.73
    -18%
    25d ago
  8. WINNO22.60sh · ¢51 → ¢81held 43d
    Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.62 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.9¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +61%”

    ▲ +$6.78
    +59%
    26d ago
  9. WINNO55.00sh · ¢51 → ¢82held 25d
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.63 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 0.3, +12.5¢ edge (ttr, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +62%”

    ▲ +$17.05
    +61%
    29d ago
  10. LOSSNO181.61sh · ¢51 → ¢37held 14d
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.63 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +12.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -26%”

    ▼ −$25.43
    -27%
    38d ago
  11. WINNO11.03sh · ¢51 → ¢81held 25d
    Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.2¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +62%”

    ▲ +$3.31
    +59%
    38d ago
  12. LOSSNO31.50sh · ¢51 → ¢36held 5d
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.63 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +12.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -26%”

    ▼ −$4.72
    -29%
    52d ago
  13. OPENNO394.49sh · ¢52 → ¢77held 118d2mo left
    Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +10.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    ▲ +$98.98
    +48%
    117d ago
  14. LOSSNO11.89sh · ¢51 → ¢37held 13d
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 0.3, +11.2¢ edge (ttr, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -25%”

    ▼ −$1.66
    -27%
    55d ago
  15. WINNO1198.24sh · ¢51 → ¢82held 89d
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.65 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +62%”

    ▲ +$371.45
    +61%
    57d ago
  16. LOSSNO11.45sh · ¢51 → ¢35held 8h
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +11.2¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -28%”

    ▼ −$1.83
    -31%
    62d ago
  17. WINNO20.33sh · ¢52 → ¢82held 35d
    Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.60 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +10.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +61%”

    ▲ +$6.19
    +59%
    69d ago
  18. LOSSNO34.15sh · ¢51 → ¢36held 2d
    Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.60 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +10.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -28%”

    ▼ −$5.23
    -30%
    81d ago
  19. WINNO30.54sh · ¢51 → ¢82held 53d
    Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.65 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +62%”

    ▲ +$9.47
    +61%
    85d ago
  20. LOSSNO10.17sh · ¢51 → ¢37held 18h
    Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.60 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +10.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -25%”

    ▼ −$1.42
    -27%
    85d ago
  21. WINNO10.39sh · ¢51 → ¢100held 28d
    Will Solana reach $90 in July?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +10.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +96%”

    ▲ +$5.07
    +96%
    89d ago
  22. LOSSYES81.94sh · ¢51 → ¢37held 40d
    Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.55 · medium

    “kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -25%”

    ▼ −$11.47
    -27%
    106d ago