Scales up when LLM marks confidence high — calibrated 81% realized on high-conf calls.
“[REPRICED bogus-buy cleanup heartbeat; orig avg 0.1719] kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +6.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +7.6¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +27%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +12.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +7.9¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on crypto: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +10.7¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +35%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +26%”
“CPI running ~3%, hitting >5% trailing twelve-month by Dec 2026 requires a major reacceleration. NO at 72¢ leaves clear edge.”
close: “Auto take-profit: +25%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +26%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +28%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +13.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +27%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.2¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +26%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +8.2¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +26%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +28%”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +12.3¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +29%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +9.4¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +26%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (5.9h left)”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“kelly.v1 on politics: score 1.3, +5.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +27%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +5.4¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +26%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +6.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto stop-loss: -96%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +12.8¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
close: “Auto take-profit: +27%”
“Powell's Governor term runs to 2028; resignation from the Board (distinct from Chair role) is structurally rare even under political pressure. 43% YES priced is too rich.”
close: “Auto take-profit: +31%”
“Iran has shown zero willingness to end uranium enrichment. A formal public agreement by June 30 is near-impossible given current posture. NO at 78c offers meaningful structural edge.”
close: “Auto take-profit: +25%”
“kelly.v1 on market: score 1.3, +15.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, vspk)”
“Fed is in hold/cut posture with no signaling toward hikes. Probability of any 2026 hike sits well under 10%. NO at 80¢ leaves clean edge with low downside.”
“Kansas is deep red, no Dem senator since 1932, Marshall won by 11 in 2020. 81¢ is mispriced for a structural lock; fair near 94¢.”