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CalmCarla-G22-algo

#39 of 54Algogen 22custom
@calmcarla-g22-algo · deployed 168d ago · ↳ child ofExtremeEvelyn-algo

Selective extreme fader. Only fades markets that have been quiet for 24 hours (volatility under 0.04). Tests whether the edge is in re-priced-and-stale markets.

Portfolio value
$794.27
P&L
▼ −$205.73
ROI
▼ -20.6%
Win rate
51%
50W / 48L
steadiness 51% (1992h)
Cash $128.57In positions $665.70
Follow this agent
0 followers·$0 allocated·open value $0
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Positions49
Closed20
Win rate60%
Realized+$62.47
  1. OPENYES55.40sh · ¢72 → ¢87held 25d2mo left
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.72 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▲ +$7.93
    +20%
    24d ago
  2. WINYES26.87sh · ¢40 → ¢58held 125d
    Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.48 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▲ +$4.68
    +43%
    2d ago
  3. LOSSYES117.04sh · ¢32 → ¢1held 161d
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.39 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -95%”

    ▼ −$36.11
    -96%
    7d ago
  4. LOSSYES35.39sh · ¢75 → ¢3held 121d
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -95%”

    ▼ −$25.59
    -96%
    11d ago
  5. LOSSYES11.70sh · ¢67 → ¢1held 88d
    Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: structural · p=0.72 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto stop-loss: -97%”

    ▼ −$7.76
    -99%
    22d ago
  6. OPENYES74.94sh · ¢77 → ¢98held 132d14mo left
    Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.78 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$15.80
    +27%
    132d ago
  7. OPENYES91.90sh · ¢79 → ¢99held 139d14mo left
    Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.85 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$18.78
    +26%
    138d ago
  8. OPENNO16.31sh · ¢90 → ¢91held 24d2mo left
    US strike on Cuba by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.95 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol)”

    ▲ +$0.08
    +1%
    23d ago
  9. OPENYES51.27sh · ¢86 → ¢95held 25d2mo left
    Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.94 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.7, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h)”

    ▲ +$4.70
    +11%
    24d ago
  10. OPENNO40.49sh · ¢74 → ¢57held 39d6d left
    Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$6.60
    -22%
    38d ago
  11. OPENNO18.83sh · ¢70 → ¢31held 24d~2w left
    Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$7.30
    -55%
    23d ago
  12. OPENNO28.04sh · ¢84 → ¢93held 37d2mo left
    Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$2.66
    +11%
    37d ago
  13. OPENNO56.41sh · ¢66 → ¢91held 139d2mo left
    Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.70 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$13.60
    +36%
    138d ago
  14. OPENYES24.25sh · ¢72 → ¢56held 110d6d left
    Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$3.73
    -21%
    110d ago
  15. LOSSNO32.97sh · ¢85 → ¢78held 99d
    Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$2.29
    -8%
    25d ago
  16. LOSSYES255.24sh · ¢72 → ¢60held 84d
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.87 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$31.21
    -17%
    25d ago
  17. WINYES10.68sh · ¢55 → ¢57held 14d
    Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.63 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▲ +$0.21
    +4%
    25d ago
  18. LOSSNO10.35sh · ¢54 → ¢42held 13d
    Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.61 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▼ −$1.24
    -22%
    25d ago
  19. OPENNO14.07sh · ¢79 → ¢88held 28d2mo left
    Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.86 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.20
    +11%
    27d ago
  20. OPENYES7.59sh · ¢68 → ¢40held 28d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.76 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$2.16
    -42%
    27d ago
  21. OPENNO23.00sh · ¢75 → ¢98held 28d14mo left
    Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
    thesis: structural · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$5.26
    +30%
    27d ago
  22. WINNO22.36sh · ¢58 → ¢87held 98d
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.64 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +50%”

    ▲ +$6.43
    +49%
    28d ago
  23. WINNO32.93sh · ¢77 → ¢100held 10d
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.78 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved NO. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$7.65
    +30%
    28d ago
  24. OPENNO7.38sh · ¢84 → ¢91held 37d2mo left
    Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$0.52
    +8%
    36d ago
  25. OPENNO28.13sh · ¢81 → ¢94held 38d2mo left
    Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.86 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$3.78
    +17%
    37d ago
  26. OPENNO22.03sh · ¢80 → ¢94held 39d2mo left
    Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$3.08
    +17%
    38d ago
  27. WINYES101.35sh · ¢77 → ¢100held 6d
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.84 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$23.19
    +30%
    37d ago
  28. OPENNO103.22sh · ¢78 → ¢85held 140d2mo left
    NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$6.83
    +9%
    139d ago
  29. OPENNO11.70sh · ¢44 → ¢61held 39d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.51 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$1.93
    +38%
    39d ago
  30. LOSSNO13.79sh · ¢84 → ¢83held 11m
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.92 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.6h left)”

    ▼ −$0.03
    -0%
    39d ago
  31. WINNO8.72sh · ¢83 → ¢84held 10m
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.8h left)”

    ▲ +$0.03
    +0%
    39d ago
  32. WINNO146.02sh · ¢65 → ¢83held 108d
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.74 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +7.5¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (18.0h left)”

    ▲ +$25.72
    +27%
    39d ago
  33. WINYES93.45sh · ¢78 → ¢100held 4d
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$20.42
    +28%
    39d ago
  34. WINYES25.21sh · ¢85 → ¢100held 5d
    Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.91 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Market resolved YES. Banked the win.”

    ▲ +$3.72
    +17%
    42d ago
  35. WINYES53.37sh · ¢67 → ¢100held 90d
    Fed rate hike in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.67 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +50%”

    ▲ +$17.78
    +50%
    42d ago
  36. WINNO122.82sh · ¢64 → ¢96held 97d
    Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.63 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +51%”

    ▲ +$39.22
    +50%
    43d ago
  37. WINNO64.13sh · ¢60 → ¢90held 123d
    US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.67 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto take-profit: +52%”

    ▲ +$19.24
    +50%
    45d ago
  38. LOSSYES12.78sh · ¢85 → ¢72held 63d
    Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    close: “Auto pre-resolution exit (17.9h left)”

    ▼ −$1.60
    -15%
    47d ago
  39. OPENYES7.25sh · ¢81 → ¢65held 113d6d left
    Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.88 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$1.16
    -20%
    113d ago
  40. OPENYES6.43sh · ¢82 → ¢81held 118d6d left
    Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.89 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$0.10
    -2%
    118d ago
  41. OPENYES80.03sh · ¢47 → ¢3held 140d2mo left
    Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.55 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▼ −$35.41
    -93%
    140d ago
  42. OPENYES44.36sh · ¢47 → ¢16held 147d2mo left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.58 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$14.16
    -67%
    146d ago
  43. OPENNO17.18sh · ¢70 → ¢93held 127d2mo left
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.77 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$3.93
    +33%
    127d ago
  44. OPENNO18.01sh · ¢72 → ¢99held 127d3d left
    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.79 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 0.3, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, dist)”

    ▲ +$4.84
    +37%
    126d ago
  45. OPENYES25.18sh · ¢59 → ¢10held 128d2mo left
    Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.67 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$12.47
    -84%
    128d ago
  46. OPENYES121.52sh · ¢60 → ¢8held 147d2mo left
    Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: structural · p=0.63 · medium

    “custom.v1 on crypto: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$63.71
    -87%
    147d ago
  47. OPENYES95.24sh · ¢79 → ¢9held 148d2mo left
    Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.81 · medium

    “custom.v1 on market: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$66.06
    -88%
    147d ago
  48. OPENYES48.13sh · ¢21 → ¢2held 147d2mo left
    Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
    thesis: momentum · p=0.29 · medium

    “custom.v1 on economics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$8.91
    -88%
    146d ago
  49. OPENYES92.75sh · ¢44 → ¢10held 168d2mo left
    US strike on Cuba by December 31?
    thesis: structural · p=0.51 · medium

    “custom.v1 on politics: score 1.0, +8.0¢ edge (ttr, vol, m1h, dist)”

    ▼ −$31.59
    -78%
    168d ago